Xgamewager1 NCAA 5 NFL 4 Picks

Xgamewager1 NCAA 5 NFL 4

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## Unique NCAA & NFL Week 5 Picks with XGT 

Previous Results Below

### Grok's Picks

1. **Florida State** (-6.5) vs **Virginia**: **$10,000**

2. **Oregon** (-3.5) vs **UCLA**: **$10,000**

3. **Cincinnati** (+1.5) vs **Tulane**: **$10,000**

4. **Tennessee Titans** (+10.5) vs **Colts**: **$10,000**

5. **Miami** (+4.5) vs **North Carolina**: **$10,000**

6. **Alabama** (-14.5) vs **Missouri**: **$10,000**

7. **Washington** (-7.5) vs **Arizona**: **$10,000**

8. **Pittsburgh Steelers** (-3.5) vs **New England Patriots**: **$10,000**

9. **Cleveland Browns** (-2.5) vs **Baltimore Ravens**: **$10,000**

10. **Seattle Seahawks** (-4.5) vs **New Orleans Saints**: **$10,000**

**Total Wager**: **$100,000**

### Llama's Picks

1. **Georgia Tech** (-13.5) vs **Wake Forest**: **$10,000**

2. **Arizona State** (-2.5) vs **TCU**: **$10,000**

3. **Michigan** (-10.5) vs **Iowa**: **$10,000**

4. **USC** (-6.5) vs **Illinois**: **$10,000**

5. **Texas** (-7.5) vs **Kansas**: **$10,000**

6. **Kentucky** (+4.5) vs **South Carolina**: **$10,000**

7. **Minnesota Vikings** (+4.5) vs **San Francisco 49ers**: **$10,000**

8. **Las Vegas Raiders** (-2.5) vs **Los Angeles Chargers**: **$10,000**

9. **Tampa Bay Buccaneers** (-3.5) vs **Atlanta Falcons**: **$10,000**

10. **New York Giants** (+3.5) vs **Dallas Cowboys**: **$10,000**

**Total Wager**: **$100,000**

### Deepseek's Picks

1. **USC** (-6.5) vs **Illinois**: **$10,000**

2. **Northwestern** (+3.5) vs **Purdue**: **$10,000**

3. **Cleveland Browns** (-2.5) vs **Baltimore Ravens**: **$10,000**

4. **Seattle Seahawks** (-4.5) vs **New Orleans Saints**: **$10,000**

5. **Florida State** (-6.5) vs **Virginia**: **$10,000**

6. **Oregon** (-3.5) vs **UCLA**: **$10,000**

7. **Cincinnati** (+1.5) vs **Tulane**: **$10,000**

8. **Miami** (+4.5) vs **North Carolina**: **$10,000**

9. **Buffalo** (-4.5) vs **Miami (OH)**: **$10,000**

10. **Green Bay Packers** (-1.5) vs **Chicago Bears**: **$10,000**

**Total Wager**: **$100,000**

### Perplexity's Picks

1. **Notre Dame** (-4.5) vs **Arkansas**: **$10,000**

2. **Buffalo** (-4.5) vs **Miami (OH)**: **$10,000**

3. **Green Bay Packers** (-1.5) vs **Chicago Bears**: **$10,000**

4. **Tampa Bay Buccaneers** (-3.5) vs **Atlanta Falcons**: **$10,000**

5. **Ole Miss** (-1.5) vs **LSU**: **$10,000**

6. **Michigan State** (-6.5) vs **Illinois**: **$10,000**

7. **Cincinnati Bengals** (-3.5) vs **Tennessee Titans**: **$10,000**

8. **Buffalo Bills** (-5.5) vs **New York Jets**: **$10,000**

9. **Arizona Cardinals** (+6.5) vs **Philadelphia Eagles**: **$10,000**

10. **Vanderbilt** (-22.5) vs **Utah State**: **$10,000**

**Total Wager**: **$100,000**

### Gemini's Picks

1. **Ole Miss** (-1.5) vs **LSU**: **$10,000**

2. **Texas** (-7.5) vs **Kansas**: **$10,000**

3. **Minnesota Vikings** (+4.5) vs **San Francisco 49ers**: **$10,000**

4. **Las Vegas Raiders** (-2.5) vs **Los Angeles Chargers**: **$10,000**

5. **New York Giants** (+3.5) vs **Dallas Cowboys**: **$10,000**

6. **Tennessee Titans** (+10.5) vs **Colts**: **$10,000**

7. **Kansas City Chiefs** (-5.5) vs **Denver Broncos**: **$10,000**

8. **Cincinnati Bengals** (-3.5) vs **Tennessee Titans**: **$10,000**

9. **Seattle Seahawks** (-4.5) vs **New Orleans Saints**: **$10,000**

10. **Atlanta Falcons** (+3.5) vs **Tampa Bay Buccaneers**: **$10,000**

**Total Wager**: **$100,000**

### Claude's Picks

1. **Vanderbilt** (-22.5) vs **Utah State**: **$10,000**

2. **Alabama** (-14.5) vs **Missouri**: **$10,000**

3. **New York Giants** (+3.5) vs **Dallas Cowboys**: **$10,000**

4. **Arizona Cardinals** (+6.5) vs **Philadelphia Eagles**: **$10,000**

5. **Florida State** (-6.5) vs **Virginia**: **$10,000**

6. **Oregon** (-3.5) vs **UCLA**: **$10,000**

7. **Cleveland Browns** (-2.5) vs **Baltimore Ravens**: **$10,000**

8. **Miami** (+4.5) vs **North Carolina**: **$10,000**

9. **Buffalo** (-4.5) vs **Miami (OH)**: **$10,000**

10. **Green Bay Packers** (-1.5) vs **Chicago Bears**: **$10,000**

**Total Wager**: **$100,000**

### ChatGPT's Picks

1. **Ohio State** (-9.5) vs **Washington**: **$10,000**

2. **Kentucky** (+4.5) vs **South Carolina**: **$10,000**

3. **Tennessee Titans** (+10.5) vs **Colts**: **$10,000**

4. **New Orleans Saints** (-4.5) vs **Seattle Seahawks**: **$10,000**

5. **Texas A&M** (-5.5) vs **Arkansas**: **$10,000**

6. **Florida** (-3.5) vs **Mississippi State**: **$10,000**

7. **Cincinnati** (+1.5) vs **Tulane**: **$10,000**

8. **USC** (-6.5) vs **Illinois**: **$10,000**

9. **Pittsburgh Steelers** (-3.5) vs **New England Patriots**: **$10,000**

10. **Minnesota Vikings** (+4.5) vs **San Francisco 49ers**: **$10,000**

**Total Wager**: **$100,000**

### Nemotron's Picks

1. **Wake Forest** (+13.5) vs **Georgia Tech**: **$10,000**

2. **Michigan State** (-6.5) vs **Illinois**: **$10,000**

3. **Cincinnati Bengals** (-3.5) vs **Tennessee Titans**: **$10,000**

4. **Buffalo Bills** (-5.5) vs **New York Jets**: **$10,000**

5. **Arizona Cardinals** (+6.5) vs **Philadelphia Eagles**: **$10,000**

6. **Vanderbilt** (-22.5) vs **Utah State**: **$10,000**

7. **Alabama** (-14.5) vs **Missouri**: **$10,000**

8. **New York Giants** (+3.5) vs **Dallas Cowboys**: **$10,000**

9. **Florida State** (-6.5) vs **Virginia**: **$10,000**

10. **Oregon** (-3.5) vs **UCLA**: **$10,000**

**Total Wager**: **$100,000**

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### Summary of Wagering

- **Total Tokens per Platform**: **100,000 XGT**

- **Total Picks per Platform**: **10 picks**

- **Wager Amount per Pick**: **$10,000**

Previous Results 

Here is a full breakdown of leaderboard pick performance for each platform. The percentage reflects how many picks each platform got correct (out of 8 possible games considered), and token totals indicate winnings based on $10,000 per correct wager. Calculations are aligned to the actual final scores provided for NFL and NCAA games between September 18-22, 2025.

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Platform Picks & Results

Platform	Correct Picks	Percentage (%)	Tokens Won ($)
Grok	6	75	$60,000
Llama	5	62.5	$50,000
Deepseek	4	50	$40,000
Perplexity	7	87.5	$70,000
Gemini	7	87.5	$70,000
Claude	6	75	$60,000
ChatGPT	6	75	$60,000
Nemotron	5	62.5	$50,000

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Scoring Details

• Correct pick = $10,000 tokens.

• Total possible picks per platform: 8.

• % correct = (Correct Picks / 8) × 100.

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Game-by-Game Accuracy

Example Breakdown (Perplexity):

• Florida State (-8.0) vs Kent State (won 66-10): Correct

• Oklahoma (-7.5) vs Auburn (won 24-17): Correct

• Georgia Tech (Over 47.5) vs Temple (total points 69): Correct

• Steelers (Under 42.5) vs Patriots (total points 35): Correct

• Seahawks (Over 44.5) vs Saints (total points 57): Correct

• Colts (Under 42.5) vs Titans (total points 61): Incorrect

• Tennessee (-10.5) vs UAB (won 56-24): Correct

• Michigan (-6.5) vs Nebraska (won 30-27): Correct

• 7 correct picks

Same analysis was run for each leaderboard platform.

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Leaderboard Summary

• Perplexity and Gemini shared the top spot with the highest correct pick rates, each winning $70,000 tokens (7/8 games).

• Deepseek had the lowest accuracy and winnings (4/8 games, $40,000 tokens).

• Other platforms landed between $50,000 and $60,000, reflecting moderate pick success (5-6 correct).

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Key Insights

• Most platforms struggled with the Colts/Titans wager, as the final score exceeded expected totals.

• Big favorites (e.g., Tennessee, Florida State) were consistently easy wins for most platforms.

• Perplexity and Gemini showed best overall consistency in picks throughout the slate provided.

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This analysis illustrates leaderboard performance for each AI platform: win percentages, correct pick counts, and token winnings .

Excellent question. Let's calculate the hypothetical profit from a $1000 wagering bankroll based on the published XGameWager1 results, assuming standard -110 odds for each pick.

Here is a breakdown of the results and profitability for the top AI platforms.

XGameWager1 Results (Sept 18-22, 2025) - $1000 Bankroll Simulation

1. Top Performers: Perplexity & Gemini (7-1 Record, 87.5%)

This is an exceptional winning percentage.

· Wagers Placed: 8

· Bets Won: 7

· Bets Lost: 1

· **Bet Size (to wager ~$1000 total):** $125 per bet ($125 * 8 bets = $1000 total risked)

Profit Calculation:

· Profit from Wins: 7 wins * ($125 * 100/110) ≈ 7 wins * ~$113.64 = +$795.45

· Loss from Losses: 1 loss * $125 = **-$125**

· Net Profit: $795.45 - $125 = +$670.45

· Return on Investment (ROI): ($670.45 / $1000) * 100 = 67.05%

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2. Middle Tier: Grok, Claude, ChatGPT (6-2 Record, 75.0%)

This is a very strong winning percentage.

· Wagers Placed: 8

· Bets Won: 6

· Bets Lost: 2

· Bet Size: $125 per bet

Profit Calculation:

· Profit from Wins: 6 wins * ~$113.64 = **+$681.84**

· Loss from Losses: 2 losses * $125 = **-$250**

· Net Profit: $681.84 - $250 = +$431.84

· Return on Investment (ROI): ($431.84 / $1000) * 100 = 43.18%

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3. Lower Tier: Llama, Nemotron (5-3 Record, 62.5%)

This is a profitable record above the 52.38% break-even point.

· Wagers Placed: 8

· Bets Won: 5

· Bets Lost: 3

· Bet Size: $125 per bet

Profit Calculation:

· Profit from Wins: 5 wins * ~$113.64 = **+$568.20**

· Loss from Losses: 3 losses * $125 = **-$375**

· Net Profit: $568.20 - $375 = +$193.20

· Return on Investment (ROI): ($193.20 / $1000) * 100 = 19.32%

4. Lowest Performer: DeepSeek (4-4 Record, 50.0%)

A 50% record is not profitable due to the sportsbook's commission (the "vig" or "juice").

· Wagers Placed: 8

· Bets Won: 4

· Bets Lost: 4

· Bet Size: $125 per bet

Profit Calculation:

· Profit from Wins: 4 wins * ~$113.64 = **+$454.56**

· Loss from Losses: 4 losses * $125 = **-$500**

· Net Profit: $454.56 - $500 = -$45.44

· Return on Investment (ROI): -4.54% (A loss)

Summary Table

AI Platform Record Win Percentage Net Profit (on $1k) ROI

Perplexity / Gemini 7-1 87.5% +$670.45 +67.05%

Grok / Claude / ChatGPT 6-2 75.0% +$431.84 +43.18%

Llama / Nemotron 5-3 62.5% +$193.20 +19.32%

DeepSeek 4-4 50.0% -$45.44 -4.54%

Disclaimer: This is a simplified simulation based on one week of results. Long-term profitability in sports betting requires consistently beating the break-even point of 52.38%. A single week's performance, while impressive for the top AIs, is a very small sample size.